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Apple earnings live updates: New CEO John Ternus faces first Wall Street test

www.cnbc.com · November 2, 2026 · 15:01

This is CNBC's live coverage of Apple's 2026 fourth-quarter earnings.

Apple reports fiscal fourth-quarter earnings after the bell on Monday, with new CEO John Ternus expected to address Wall Street in a meaningful way for the first time.

Here's what analysts are expecting, according to LSEG.

Revenue is expected to increase 11% from $102.5 billion a year earlier. Analysts project $56.59 billion in iPhone sales for the quarter.

Wall Street is closely watching iPhone revenue because the report will include eight days of new iPhone 18 Pro sales. But Apple's new flagship device, the iPhone Duo, didn't hit store shelves until the quarter was over, and Apple didn't announce a new entry-level iPhone 18.

Apple also raised prices on iPhones by $100, which may have hurt demand in the quarter.

Monday's earnings call, set to start at 5 p.m. ET, will be the first with Ternus at the helm. Investors want to hear from him about the company's plans in China after its AI software got approved, as well as the slew of recent product launches and how the company continues to grapple with global shortages of memory and flash storage.

Needham analyst Laura Martin told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" that Apple is facing strong competition from AI companies and that it has "bet the farm" on the smartphone's continuing relevance even as companies like Meta and Google experiment with new hardware form factors.

"Almost every other AI company is going to try to change that form factor," said Martin, who recommends holding the stock.

Monday is an unusual day for Apple to report earnings. The iPhone maker typically schedules earnings for Thursday, although it has mixed in Tuesdays and Wednesdays.

The last time the company reported earnings on a Monday was on April 27, 2015.

Apple spent the weekend as the most valuable publicly traded company, after taking the crown from Nvidia at market close on Friday.

But Apple shares slipped about 2% on Monday, and the two are neck and neck at around $4.91 trillion. The two companies have been swapping at the top of the table for years. Before this month, Apple passed Nvidia in July, but Nvidia quickly reclaimed the top spot a few days later.

While Monday's earnings report won't include sales from the iPhone Duo, execs may still be pressed on the device's launch in October.

There hasn't been much supply of the folding iPhone, with first-day preorders quickly slipping into estimated ship dates in 2027.

But there are also a number of reports that the Duo can crack under normal use, which is a tough hit to Apple's brand under Ternus. Apple acknowledged the issues last month and said they affected a "small number" of devices.

Analysts at Barclays wrote in an earnings preview over the weekend that they "remain cautious on the stock given iPhone uncertainties this cycle, limited monetization of AI, and renewed fears on the App Store."

The firm has an underweight rating on the shares, and said the "pricing benefits AAPL has been enjoying from the memory backdrop due to its scale and preferential pricing are fading."

Bank of America analyst Wamsi Mohan said on Friday that his team had a "conservative outlook" on earnings because of gross margin concerns and price increases.

The analyst pointed out that Apple's gross margins in the September quarter will be boosted by a positive impact from tariff refunds, and that margins could drop in the coming quarters.

Apple reported a gross margin of 49.3% in its June quarter, but warned that it would be between 47.5% and 48% in the September period.

"Investor focus will likely be on component cost inflation, durability of gross margin and services revenue growth," Mohan wrote in the note.

Bank of America maintains a Buy rating on the stock and a price target of $370.

Apple is competing in a smartphone and PC market that has "never been worse," IDC's Ryan Reith told CNBC.

Consumer electronics companies everywhere are grappling with surging prices for computer parts, including memory and flash storage that's used in every smartphone and laptop.

Intel on Friday had its worst day on the stock market since the 1970s, dropping 29%, after the company cited PC softness for a disappointing forecast.

Many companies have responded to component shortages by raising prices or reducing specifications for current devices. Consumers are holding onto their old computers for far longer, driving sales down.

IDC says the smartphone market is set to drop nearly 17% this year based on shipments. PCs could be down 11%.

Apple isn't immune. The company raised prices on almost all of its products since executives warned over the summer that the market was in a "thousand year flood."

Apple's new $2,000 foldable phone won't have any sales for the quarter, which ended last month. While Apple and Ternus announced new iPhones on Sept. 9, the foldable Duo didn't go on sale until a month later, on Oct 23.

Some analysts have theorized that Apple's most committed fans may have been waiting to see the Duo come out before buying it.

There will be a few weeks of sales from the iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max, which went on sale on Sept. 18.

Apple investors and customers are still getting to know Ternus, but since he took over for Tim Cook on Sept. 1, the new CEO has embraced his new role as the face of the iPhone company.

Ternus' first major appearance came nine days into his tenure, when he unveiled the iPhone Duo at Apple's headquarters. A week later, he was walking the red carpet at the Emmys. He then flew to New York, where he opened the doors at an Apple store to commemorate the new iPhone Pro going on sale. He also went to Austin, Texas, this month to kick off sales of the iPhone Duo, and appeared at an elementary school and an F1 race while on the trip.

And he's had a busy media schedule, including an appearance on the cover of Time magazine.

Last week, Ternus continued a new style of Apple product introduction in unveiling the first MacBook with a touchscreen using a format he first tried out in the spring. That's when Apple launched its low-cost MacBook Neo. Ternus addressed a crowd of media and analysts, giving a five minute speech interspersed with a few short videos.

Investors will get their first in-depth look at Ternus on Monday. He's been on the past few calls, but hasn't given extended remarks, and largely deferred to Cook when asked questions.

Heading into its earnings report, Apple has emerged as the preferred megacap tech stock on Wall Street. The shares are up 27% this year as of Friday's close, by far outpacing Apple's leading peers.

It's also the last among the group (other than Nvidia, which reports next month) to issue quarterly earnings. Investors weren't kind to the hyperscalers over the past two weeks, scrutinizing their hefty expenses and dwindling cash flows.

Apple is in a much different category as the iPhone maker has avoided running up huge capital expenditures bills, taking a more measured approach to its AI investing.